2018 FIFA World Cup Russia: Groups

2018 FIFA World Cup Russia: Groups

We have one more week before FIFA World Cup Russia 2018 starts. It’s time to take a closer look at groups and make some predictions. And, of course, some stamps.

 

We already had an article devoted to the World Cup 2018 where we discussed some Russia-issued stamps. These stamps gave u insight to stadiums where matches shall be played and we also met Zabivaka™, the official mascot of the tournament. Today, we’ll take a look at stamps, Russian post issued on 2018/05/10. Each of them is related to one group and has the denomination of 40 Rubles.

Besides stamps, we’ll go with some statistical details and predictions who could move to the next round. Don’t use these predictions for anything besides making fun of me when we’ll know how it really went 😊

 

What we’ll do today?

We’ll play with numbers. I will only current ranking and my “feeling” 😊 There is no sophisticated mathematical model behind these predictions and of course, I’m not turbo-expert (or expert at all 😊 ).

Average team ranking of all teams being part of the competition, accordingly to the FIFA Ranking from June 2018 is 25.43.

For each group, I’ll calculate the average team ranking and compare it to the above mentioned average team ranking of all teams in the championship. This way I’ll determine how strong or weak that group is.

For each group, I’ll calculate the average of absolute differences between team ranking and the average team ranking in that group. Groups having lower values will be the most unpredictable/competitive and the ones where we can expect anything to happen.

The average absolute ranking difference for all teams is 17.04. For groups with a lower value than this one, we can expect they will be more competitive.

 

Group A

In Group A are host Russia (70 – June 2018 FIFA Ranking), Saudi Arabia (67), Egypt (45) and Uruguay (14).

 

FIFA Football World Cup 2018 – Russia

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2018 FIFA World Cup Russia – Group A

2018/05/10

Denomination: 40 Rubles

 Average team ranking: 49 (>> 25.43).

Average of absolute differences in the group: 19.5 (> 17.04)

You don’t need to be an expert to see that this is the weakest group on the whole tournament and numbers also tell the same story. The difference between teams is also the largest one making this the less competitive group (according to numbers).
Uruguay should definitely advance to the next round and I would expect to see Russia also there.

 

Group B

In Group B are Portugal (4), Spain (10), Morocco (41) and Iran (37).

 

FIFA Football World Cup 2018 – Russia

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2018 FIFA World Cup Russia – Group B

2018/05/10

Denomination: 40 Rubles

Average team ranking: 23 (< 25.43).

Average of absolute differences in the group: 16 (< 17.04)

For this group numbers say that it’s close to average in strength and competitiveness. Still, Portugal and Spain are so much ahead of Morocco and Iran that they should not have any problems moving to the next round.

 

Group C

In Group C are France (7), Australia (36), Peru (11) and Denmark (12).

 

FIFA Football World Cup 2018 – Russia

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2018 FIFA World Cup Russia – Group C

2018/05/10

Denomination: 40 Rubles

 Average team ranking: 16.5 (< 25.43).

Average of absolute differences in the group: 9.75 (<< 17.04)

This is the second strongest group at the whole tournament, but definitely the most competitive one. Australia probably has no chance here and the remaining three teams will fight for the next round. I would put my bet on Peru and Denmark here.

 

Group D

In Group D are Argentina (5), Iceland (22), Croatia (20) and Nigeria (48).

 

FIFA Football World Cup 2018 – Russia

Copyright© 2018 Russian Post (Почта России). All Rights Reserved.

2018 FIFA World Cup Russia – Group D

2018/05/10

Denomination: 40 Rubles

 Average team ranking: 23.75 (< 25.43).

Average of absolute differences in the group: 12.125 (< 17.04)

While this group is averagely strong, it’s pretty much competitive. Each team in this group can win against any other team so the way how the team starts the first match and will the team have a bad day or not will play a major role here. Personally, I would love to see all four of them in the next round (especially Argentina, because of Messi) but I expect that Croatia and Iceland will manage it.

 

Group E

In Group E are Brazil (2), Switzerland (6), Costa Rica (23) and Serbia (34).

 

FIFA Football World Cup 2018 – Russia

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2018 FIFA World Cup Russia – Group E

2018/05/10

Denomination: 40 Rubles

 Average team ranking: 16.25 (< 25.43).

Average of absolute differences in the group: 12.25 (< 17.04)

This is the strongest group on the whole championship and pretty much competitive one. While Neymar and his company should have no problems going into the next round the remaining three teams will fight a great battle for the second place. I expect that Serbia, along with Brazil, will be the one moving to the next round.

 

Group F

In Group F are Germany (1), Mexico (15), Sweden (24) and South Korea (57).

 

FIFA Football World Cup 2018 – Russia

Copyright© 2018 Russian Post (Почта России). All Rights Reserved.

2018 FIFA World Cup Russia – Group F

2018/05/10

Denomination: 40 Rubles

 Average team ranking: 24.25 (< 25.43).

Average of absolute differences in the group: 16.375 (< 17.04)

Numbers say that this will be an average group in both categories, but Germany is safe here. Not to mention that Germany is the main aspirant for the championship title. It would be a miracle that we don’t see Germany in the next round. Unfortunately, Zlatan Ibrahimović won’t play for Sweden, so I guess Mexico could be the second team, from this group, advancing to the next round

 

Group G

In Group G are Belgium (3), Panama (55), Tunisia (21) and England (12).

 

FIFA Football World Cup 2018 – Russia

Copyright© 2018 Russian Post (Почта России). All Rights Reserved.

2018 FIFA World Cup Russia – Group G

2018/05/10

Denomination: 40 Rubles

 Average team ranking: 22.75 (< 25.43).

Average of absolute differences in the group: 16.125 (< 17.04)

I won’t say much here, just – Belgium and England.

 

Group H

In Group H are Poland (8), Senegal (27), Columbia (16) and Japan (61).

 

FIFA Football World Cup 2018 – Russia

Copyright© 2018 Russian Post (Почта России). All Rights Reserved.

2018 FIFA World Cup Russia – Group H

2018/05/10

Denomination: 40 Rubles

 

Average team ranking: 28 (> 25.43).

Average of absolute differences in the group: 16.5 (< 17.04)

This is the second weakest group of the whole championship and averagely competitive one. While Poland should advance to the next round, all three other teams have a chance to do it so. I would give an advantage to Columbia over others here.

 

Fortunately for us, football is not just numbers, math, and averages of current rankings. I guess we’ll see some unexpected results and that is the beauty of everything. I would love to hear your opinion in the comments below so – just do it.

 

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